Next: Pneumonia Hypothesis Probability
Up: Probability of Hypotheses
Previous: LVF Normalized Hypothesis
The computation
of the probability for this hypothesis is similar. Again, pneumonia is
assumed false with a probability of one. The probability of the MI
producing low LVF is still 0.6, but now there is no need to decide when
the low LVF ends. The probability of high LAP is still 0.8. The high
LAP explicitly ends with the addition of the nitroglycerin, for which
the probability is 0.8. Since the high LAP therefore lasts for 2 hours,
the probability of PC is 0.5. The PC must persist for the 4 hours until
the exam time, but PC always lasts at least 6 hours. The estimated
probability is summarized as follows:
